Session 125:
Formal Demography I: Mathematical Models and Methods

Friday, April 1
12:30 PM - 2:20 PM
Truman
Mezzanine Level

Chair: Samuel J. Clark, University of Washington
Discussant: Adrian Raftery, University of Washington

  1. The IMEM Model for Estimating International Migration Flows between Countries in EuropeJames Raymer, University of Southampton; Jonathan J. Forster, University of Southampton; Peter W.F. Smith, University of Southampton; Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton; Arkadiusz Wisniowski, University of Southampton; Guy J. Abel, University of Southampton

  2. Recent Rises in Cohort Fertility in the Industrialized World: Using Bayesian Methods to Extrapolate Trends while Preserving Cohort FeaturesJoshua R. Goldstein, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Mikko Myrskylä, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Carl P. Schmertmann, Florida State University; Emilio Zagheni, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

  3. Modifying the Lee-Carter Method to Project Mortality Changes up to 2100Nan Li, United Nations; Patrick Gerland, United Nations Population Division

  4. Dynamics of Death in the Lee-Carter ModelShripad Tuljapurkar, Stanford University

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